The sports newsletter archive.
Every issue, back to the beginning. Read it before the snap — or read it after.
Wednesday, October 28, 2026
Milwaukee's bullpen threw 123 pitches in Game 4 and its Game 5 price rose, Tampa Bay has one Series home run, Turang ranks sixth in outs above average, and Charlotte is missing four players.
Vol. 1 · No. 158 · MLB, CFB, NHLTuesday, October 27, 2026
Milwaukee is up 3-0 and a -125 favorite in Game 4, Chourio is 8-for-14, Western Kentucky has five more days of rest than Delaware, and Los Angeles plays in Chicago a night after New York.
Vol. 1 · No. 157 · MLB, NHL, NFLMonday, October 26, 2026
Four relievers have worked both Series nights, Hicks has four of Tampa Bay's six RBI, McDavid has a point in all 11 games, and Dallas flipped from underdog to favorite.
Vol. 1 · No. 156 · NFL, NHL, NBASunday, October 25, 2026
Minnesota's spread moved 3.5 points and its total fell six, Kenneth Walker III returns to Seattle, and all three unbeaten NFL teams play.
Vol. 1 · No. 155 · MLB, CFB, NHL, NBASaturday, October 24, 2026
Rasmussen's 7.0-inning October average meets Henderson's 12 days off, Ole Miss is a 3-point underdog at Texas, and Miami's 48.5 scoring average equals its game total.
Vol. 1 · No. 154 · MLB, CFB, NBA, NHLFriday, October 23, 2026
Milwaukee's relievers have carried 57% of its October innings, the Brewers have made 8 errors in 8 games, and Chandler Simpson hit .306 with zero barrels.
Vol. 1 · No. 153 · NFL, NHL, CFBThursday, October 22, 2026
Drake Maye's 3.10-second clock meets a thinned New England line in Chicago, the total in that game sits 5.2 above the league average, and nine books split on Edmonton-Carolina.
Vol. 1 · No. 152 · NBA, NHL, CFBWednesday, October 21, 2026
Nine books cannot agree who is favored in Charlotte-Brooklyn, Brady Tkachuk returns to Ottawa, and Utah's league-worst defense visits Memphis.
Vol. 1 · No. 151 · NBA, NHL, MLBTuesday, October 20, 2026
The Spurs and Thunder open the NBA season tonight after Game 7, Boston has flipped from underdog to favorite at Detroit, and Connor McDavid has a point in all eight games.
Vol. 1 · No. 150 · NFL, MLB, NHLMonday, October 19, 2026
San Francisco's spread has moved two points since the open, the 49ers have allowed 3 sacks in five games, and Peralta starts ALCS Game 6.
Vol. 1 · No. 149 · NFL, MLB, NHLSunday, October 18, 2026
Jalen Hurts is on injured reserve, Houston kicks off at 8:30 AM its time at Wembley, and Kenneth Walker III is gaining 2.47 yards a carry over expected.
Vol. 1 · No. 148 · CFB, MLB, NHLSaturday, October 17, 2026
Ohio State and Indiana are both 3-0 in the Big Ten, Notre Dame's and BYU's defenses rank 4th and 8th, and Cleveland starts a reliever in ALCS Game 4.
Vol. 1 · No. 147 · MLB, NHL, CFBFriday, October 16, 2026
Cleveland has not named a Game 4 starter, Nick Martinez's fly balls meet a 16 mph wind, and nine books split on Coastal Carolina's moneyline.
Vol. 1 · No. 146 · MLB, NFLThursday, October 15, 2026
The Dodgers are one loss from elimination with two relievers at 71 pitches, Gavin Williams has a day-night home-run split, and Sam Darnold is pressured on 35.4% of dropbacks.
Vol. 1 · No. 145 · MLB, NHL, CFBWednesday, October 14, 2026
Milwaukee is two wins from the World Series, Blake Snell has not allowed a home run in 46⅓ innings, and nine books disagree on Dallas–Colorado's total.
Vol. 1 · No. 144 · MLB, NHLTuesday, October 13, 2026
Neither ALCS Game 2 starter has gone past 4⅔ innings in October, Tampa Bay's defense splits two metrics, and Sebastian Aho has 11 points in six straight games.
Vol. 1 · No. 143 · NFL, MLBMonday, October 12, 2026
Buffalo and Los Angeles play to a 54.5 total from opposite scoring profiles, Myles Garrett is on injured reserve, and Milwaukee's bullpen threw 64 pitches in NLCS Game 1.
Vol. 1 · No. 142 · NFL, MLBSunday, October 11, 2026
Philadelphia lists Saquon Barkley and DeVonta Smith out in London, Brock Purdy has not been sacked in four games, and the NLCS opens with both teams at negative prices.
Vol. 1 · No. 141 · CFB, MLBSaturday, October 10, 2026
Alabama has scored 45 or more in all five games, Georgia has allowed 20 or fewer, the line has flipped to Alabama, and Texas-Oklahoma has Saturday's lowest total.
Vol. 1 · No. 140 · CFB, NHLFriday, October 9, 2026
BYU's spread and total each fell four points, Louisville has lost three games by three points apiece, and five of the 26 FBS passers with five or more interceptions play tonight.
Vol. 1 · No. 139 · MLB, NHL, NFLThursday, October 8, 2026
Hagen Smith threw 21 pitches Wednesday and is Chicago's listed Game 4 starter, Chicago's lineup has struck out 42 times in three games, and Dallas has moved from a 3.5-point favorite to 8.5.
Vol. 1 · No. 138 · MLB, CFBWednesday, October 7, 2026
All four Division Series can end tonight, Tampa Bay's defense rates +87 behind a starter who strikes out 15.1%, and four Padres relievers threw 97 pitches in Game 3.
Vol. 1 · No. 137 · MLB, NHLTuesday, October 6, 2026
Mason Miller threw 40 pitches in the Padres' walk-off loss and his manager may limit him to one inning, Milwaukee has won seven straight, and Sale and Yamamoto face off in Atlanta.
Vol. 1 · No. 136 · NFL, MLBMonday, October 5, 2026
Atlanta's run defense is first in the NFL while its pass defense is 30th, New Orleans' Chris Olave has caught 375 of its 917 passing yards, and Tampa Bay's bullpen threw 14 pitches in ALDS Game 1.
Vol. 1 · No. 135 · NFL, MLBSunday, October 4, 2026
Kansas City and Las Vegas are 3-0 and have each scored exactly 88 points, Philadelphia's defense has no takeaways against a quarterback with four interceptions, Bryce Young has faced pressure on 34.3% of his dropbacks, and Blake Snell has not allowed a home run all season.
Vol. 1 · No. 134 · CFB, MLBSaturday, October 3, 2026
Miami QB Darian Mensah has completed 88.7% of his passes entering Clemson, Ohio State's 45.0 points a game meet Iowa's 8.0 allowed, and Atlanta plans a bullpen game against Dodgers ace Tarik Skubal.
Vol. 1 · No. 133 · CFB, NHLFriday, October 2, 2026
Penn State opened a 7-point favorite at Northwestern and is now 2.5, Brent Pry's Virginia Tech defense has 17 sacks entering its unbeaten showdown with Pitt, and the Rangers play a third game in four nights.
Vol. 1 · No. 132 · MLB, NFLThursday, October 1, 2026
The NL Wild Card series is tied 1-1 and neither club has named a Game 3 starter, with three Braves relievers having pitched in both games and Philadelphia's Game 2 win running ten innings. Atlanta has four regulars with a 12%+ barrel rate to Philadelphia's one, and Thursday's Steelers-Browns total is 6.8 points below the NFL average since 2018.
Vol. 1 · No. 131 · MLBWednesday, September 30, 2026
Houston used eight pitchers in Game 1 and now starts a pitcher who hasn't gone past 5⅓ innings in three outings, with a taxed Chicago pen across the diamond. Yankees slugger Ben Rice drove in six runs without Aaron Judge, reliever Paul Blackburn's ERA sits 1.99 below his xERA, and all nine books price Philadelphia as the favorite in Atlanta.
Vol. 1 · No. 130 · MLBTuesday, September 29, 2026
Houston won the AL West at 81-81, the lowest win total in the playoff field, and neither listed Game 1 starter has more than one start this season; Atlanta's defense is +62 runs saved against Philadelphia's -51, White Sox slugger Munetaka Murakami leads baseball with a 20.5% barrel rate, and the Yankees haven't played since Friday.
Vol. 1 · No. 129 · NFLMonday, September 28, 2026
Chicago opened a 1.5-point home favorite over Philadelphia; a Grade 2 hamstring strain for Caleb Williams and Case Keenum's first start since 2023 have swung the line five points, Saquon Barkley returns from a Week 2 stinger on five total touches, and Colston Loveland has one catch through two games.
Vol. 1 · No. 128 · NFLSunday, September 27, 2026
Jaxson Dart's 134.2-rating Week 1 debut is over for the season after knee surgery, and Jameis Winston plays every snap against Tennessee tonight; Baltimore and Dallas flew over 4,800 miles to Rio de Janeiro for the day's highest total, Houston and Texas are both 80-81 with one game left in a tied AL West, and San Francisco's opening line over Arizona has shrunk from 11.5 points to 7.5.
Vol. 1 · No. 127 · CFBSaturday, September 26, 2026
Texas arrives in Knoxville as the unanimous No. 1 team in the country, but Tennessee's Faizon Brandon is out-producing Arch Manning by more than double on a per-play basis; Florida's leaky-defense mismatch has the market favoring it over fourth-ranked Ole Miss, Iowa-Michigan carries the day's lowest total at 38.5, and Houston and Texas are still tied atop the AL West with two games left.
Vol. 1 · No. 126 · MLBFriday, September 25, 2026
Houston and Texas are both 79-80 with three games left in the AL West, and Houston already owns the head-to-head tiebreaker, 9-4; JJ Wetherholt's glove faces baseball's best offense in Milwaukee, Ke'Bryan Hayes carries the widest wOBA-xwOBA gap in the sport into Toronto, and Freddy Peralta takes a 1.19 September ERA into Philadelphia.
Vol. 1 · No. 125 · NFLThursday, September 24, 2026
Cooper Rush threw a league-high 4 interceptions in two Atlanta starts, and tonight the Falcons hand the offense back to Michael Penix Jr. at Lambeau, where Green Bay's line has come in 3 points since it opened; Jayden Reed is out for the Packers, and Tanner Gordon takes an 8.20 home ERA back to the thin air of Coors Field.
Vol. 1 · No. 124 · MLBWednesday, September 23, 2026
Toronto and Baltimore both carry a wild card elimination number of 1 this morning, and play each other twice today in a doubleheader forced by Monday's rainout; Robbie Ray's September ERA has more than doubled his season mark, Mookie Betts' glove is quietly propping up Yamamoto's ERA, and Aaron Judge's contact quality says a hot streak is overdue.
Vol. 1 · No. 123 · MLBTuesday, September 22, 2026
Toronto's wild card elimination number dropped to 2 after last night's loss to Baltimore, and the loss cost the Blue Jays' bullpen almost everyone in it; Will Smith's contact quality says his down year is about to turn, the Cubs have quietly built the best defense in baseball, and Tampa Bay/New York play a rare day-night doubleheader.
Vol. 1 · No. 122 · NFLMonday, September 21, 2026
The Rams have had 11 days to forget a 27-7 loss in Melbourne while Jaxson Dart's Giants arrive on eight; Cam Skattebo already has the backfield job fantasy managers are still fighting about, and Toronto's wild-card math runs through Baltimore with six games left.
Vol. 1 · No. 121 · NFLSunday, September 20, 2026
Atlanta's line flipped from a 1.5-point home favorite to a 2.5-point underdog after Michael Penix Jr.'s season-ending ACL tear and Tua Tagovailoa's oblique injury; Patrick Mahomes threw for 184 yards and two scores in his return last week, and Seattle is still favored by 3.5 at Arizona despite missing Sam Darnold.
Vol. 1 · No. 120 · CFBSaturday, September 19, 2026
LSU is favored by three tonight at Ole Miss, but the season-long SP+ gap between the two teams runs closer to nine points; Georgia's Gunner Stockton is averaging 1.16 expected points a play, Notre Dame's defense is allowing -0.29 with the total still at 51.5, and Texas's best available reliever isn't around for tonight's rubber match with Toronto.
Vol. 1 · No. 119 · MLBFriday, September 18, 2026
Toronto and Texas enter tonight tied at 76-77 for the same AL wild card spot and play each other, Matt Olson sits one homer from 40 in Houston, and Tyler Glasnow's September ERA has more than doubled despite his best strikeout stretch of the year.
Vol. 1 · No. 118 · NFLThursday, September 17, 2026
Buffalo's spread and total have both climbed since the line opened for tonight's Lions-Bills game, Jahmyr Gibbs enters off a 186-yard scrimmage game, Dalton Kincaid put up the week's most efficient tight end line, and Framber Valdez takes a 0.00 September ERA into Chicago.
Vol. 1 · No. 117 · MLBWednesday, September 16, 2026
Jared Jones has thrown 13 scoreless innings this September against a Milwaukee lineup that's already clinched, Elly De La Cruz is slugging 1.364 since September 1 against Blake Snell, Toronto's exhausted bullpen still can't shake the market, and Texas defends a one-game AL West lead behind one of baseball's best gloves.
Vol. 1 · No. 116 · MLBTuesday, September 15, 2026
Chicago leads Cleveland by 1.5 games in the AL Central and plays them tonight, the Cubs' historic defense hosts Atlanta, Aaron Judge's contact quality says more is coming, and San Diego defends the NL's final wild card spot by 2.5 games.
Vol. 1 · No. 115 · NFLMonday, September 14, 2026
Patrick Mahomes returns tonight, nine months after tearing his ACL and LCL, against a Denver defense that led the NFL in sacks a year ago, while Colorado's exhausted bullpen hosts a red-hot San Diego team riding seven straight wins.
Vol. 1 · No. 114 · NFLSunday, September 13, 2026
Tennessee is favored for the first time in 17 games as Cam Ward's rookie finish backs it up, Atlanta may start a third quarterback after Penix and Tagovailoa are both out, Freddy Peralta trims three runs off his ERA in September as Tampa Bay leads the AL East by four, and Ben Shelton faces a perfect 0-5 head-to-head with Alexander Zverev in the US Open men's final.
Vol. 1 · No. 113 · CFBSaturday, September 12, 2026
No. 1 Ohio State visits No. 4 Texas in Austin, Oklahoma's line at Michigan flips 8 points since it opened, San Diego grabs sole possession of the NL's final wild card spot on a 5-game streak, and Sabalenka faces Rybakina in the US Open women's final.
Vol. 1 · No. 112 · MLBFriday, September 11, 2026
Chris Sale and Aaron Nola take the mound on opposite sides of the same ERA-vs-xERA gap with Atlanta's NL East lead on the line, Tampa Bay's glove carries a 107-run edge over Houston, the Dodgers ride a 7-game streak, and Ben Shelton faces Frances Tiafoe in an all-American US Open semifinal.
Vol. 1 · No. 111 · NFLThursday, September 10, 2026
San Francisco and Los Angeles open their seasons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, Matthew Stafford closes on the best form of his 2025 year, the market has quietly moved a full point toward the Rams, and Jacob deGrom gets the exact getaway-day matinee his season has been waiting for.
Vol. 1 · No. 110 · NFLWednesday, September 9, 2026
New England and Seattle open the NFL season replaying February's Super Bowl LX rematch, with a completely different receiving room on each sideline, referee Adrian Hill's flag-heavy crew on the field, and the Dodgers' magic number down to 7.
Vol. 1 · No. 109 · MLBTuesday, September 8, 2026
San Diego trails Arizona by half a game for the NL's last wild card spot, Aaron Judge returns to Yankee Stadium for the first time since May, and Milwaukee's bullpen has nothing left despite the best record in baseball.
Vol. 1 · No. 108 · MLBMonday, September 7, 2026
Cleveland grabs sole possession of the AL's last wild card spot with an empty bullpen, Milwaukee's magic number keeps dropping despite its own two-game skid, and Matt Olson walks into Philadelphia with the NL's third-most home runs.
Vol. 1 · No. 107 · MLBSunday, September 6, 2026
Cleveland and Toronto are tied for the American League's last wild card spot, Arizona's defense is protecting a half-game lead over San Diego for the National League's, and Ke'Bryan Hayes' bat is far better than his .153 average says.
Vol. 1 · No. 106 · CFBSaturday, September 5, 2026
Auburn replaces its entire quarterback room with a USF transfer QB who put up 3,158 passing yards and 1,008 rushing yards last year, Lane Kiffin makes his $13-million LSU debut against Clemson's new starter, and Milwaukee's magic number drops to 13 with the best record in baseball.
Vol. 1 · No. 105 · MLBFriday, September 4, 2026
Cleveland's bullpen is down to its last arms right before a doubleheader defending its wild card spot, and Bryce Harper's numbers don't disagree with anything.
Vol. 1 · No. 104 · MLBThursday, September 3, 2026
Toronto, Texas, and Baltimore are tied at 69-71 chasing Cleveland's wild card spot, Chicago and Houston's division leads collide with both bullpens gassed, and Pete Crow-Armstrong is putting together a 38-homer, 32-steal season nobody's talking about.
Vol. 1 · No. 103 · MLBWednesday, September 2, 2026
Davis Martin's peripherals and his last five starts tell different stories, Yordan Alvarez's bat is the loudest on either roster, and Brad Lord's home/road splits don't favor Wednesday's start.
Vol. 1 · No. 102 · MLBTuesday, September 1, 2026
Ronel Blanco's ERA hides a real fix, Tatis and Machado carry San Diego into Cincinnati, and Philadelphia's bullpen is out of fresh arms against Arizona.
Vol. 1 · No. 101 · MLBMonday, August 31, 2026
Atlanta's seventh straight win runs into a still-cold Ronald Acuña Jr., Boston gets two bats back from the injured list against a Seattle starter better than his ERA, the Cubs' historic team defense hosts Milwaukee, and Peter Lambert's August collapse meets a taxed Houston bullpen — plus Alcaraz opens the US Open.
Vol. 1 · No. 100 · MLBSunday, August 30, 2026
Mason Adams' 2.25 ERA runs into Atlanta's six-game win streak, Zack Wheeler's last five starts meet a last-place Angels club, Shohei Ohtani's quiet contact numbers say a breakout is overdue, and Jazz Chisholm's glove is one of the best at second base — plus Djokovic opens night play at the US Open.
Vol. 1 · No. 099 · CFBSaturday, August 29, 2026
TCU and North Carolina open the college season in Dublin as a two-score favorite, Virginia is favored despite returning less production than any team in the ACC, USC's spread is the widest of the day, and Boston/New York split a doubleheader nobody's fully priced.
Vol. 1 · No. 098 · MLBFriday, August 28, 2026
Tarik Skubal starts against Detroit for the first time since the trade that ended his Tigers career, Aaron Judge's contact quality says his season isn't as quiet as it looks, Ceddanne Rafaela might be playing the best defense in the American League, and Cleveland's seven-game winning streak has the Guardians within 2.5 games of first.
Vol. 1 · No. 097 · MLBThursday, August 27, 2026
Yamamoto and Sale both hide behind sub-2.65 ERAs while their fastballs take a beating in Atlanta, Hayden Wesneski's ERA undersells him in the Bronx, a Cardinals rookie's glove keeps producing through a five-game skid, and nine books can't agree who's favored between Arizona and a last-place Giants club.
Vol. 1 · No. 096 · MLBWednesday, August 26, 2026
Michael Harris II hasn't made an error in center field all year and his bat just caught fire, Troy Melton's 1.60 ERA meets a market that already flipped against him, Grayson Rodriguez's ERA and his stuff disagree by a run and a half, and San Diego's bullpen enters the night running on fumes.
Vol. 1 · No. 095 · MLBTuesday, August 25, 2026
Will Smith's contact quality says a hot streak is coming for the Dodgers, Aaron Nola's turnaround the morning after Seattle snapped Philadelphia's win streak, Adrian Houser's 0.55 August ERA for a banged-up Giants team, and MLB's best defense stuck in a coin-flip line in Phoenix.
Vol. 1 · No. 094 · MLBMonday, August 24, 2026
Zack Wheeler's rough two weeks collide with Philadelphia's nine-game win streak, Riley Greene quietly mashing through a Detroit losing streak, Dansby Swanson's glove propping up Kevin Gausman's ERA, and the board's runaway total sitting in Sacramento.
Vol. 1 · No. 093 · MLBSunday, August 23, 2026
Kyle Leahy's ERA-vs-xERA gap against a red-hot Phillies lineup, Cal Raleigh's contact quality trapped in Seattle's marine layer, Alek Thomas quietly excelling at the plate and in center field since his Dodgers recall, and nine sportsbooks split on who's actually favored in Baltimore.
Vol. 1 · No. 092 · MLBSaturday, August 22, 2026
Gabriel Hughes' luck-vs-stuff gap at Coors, CJ Abrams chasing a 30-30 season on a last-place Nationals team, Milwaukee's best-in-baseball record leaning on a second baseman's glove, and Oakland's bullpen and roster falling apart at once.
Vol. 1 · No. 091 · MLBFriday, August 21, 2026
Logan Webb's dominant August at Fenway, Bobby Witt Jr.'s MVP case on a last-place Royals team, Arizona's quietly elite shortstop glove, and Philadelphia's six-game streak drawing a real line move.
Vol. 1 · No. 090 · MLBThursday, August 20, 2026
Shane Bieber's ERA already looks rough at Tampa Bay today, plus Aaron Judge's power at Camden Yards, a rookie Cardinal quietly playing elite defense, and nine sportsbooks who can't agree who's favored in Chicago.
Vol. 1 · No. 089 · MLBWednesday, August 19, 2026
The Dodgers' bullpen has one fresh arm left before tonight's trip to Coors Field, plus Oneil Cruz's return to Pittsburgh, the sport's best glove in center field, and Max Scherzer's ERA outrunning his own contact quality by nearly two runs.
Vol. 1 · No. 088 · MLBTuesday, August 18, 2026
Zack Wheeler's ERA is 5.84 in August, but his contact quality hasn't moved a point, plus an elite-glove collision in Arlington, a .208 hitter with a .401 expected slugging percentage, and Kansas City's board-high total meeting two gassed bullpens.
Vol. 1 · No. 087 · MLBMonday, August 17, 2026
Tomoyuki Sugano's ERA is outrunning his contact quality by 2.5 runs, and tonight he takes that luck to Coors Field, plus a Cubs-defense mystery, Junior Caminero's breakout numbers, and a Cardinals-Reds doubleheader bullpen crunch.
Vol. 1 · No. 086 · MLBSunday, August 16, 2026
Lake Bachar's 7.66 day ERA meets a 1:35 PM Pittsburgh matinee, plus Matt Olson's barrel rate against Atlanta, Cleveland's best-kept defensive secret, and a Toronto moneyline flip missing its best hitter.
Vol. 1 · No. 085 · MLBSaturday, August 15, 2026
Jacob Misiorowski's fastball has the Dodgers as home underdogs, plus Yordan Alvarez's contact quality outrunning his box score, Mookie Betts' glove at a position he wasn't supposed to play, and nine sportsbooks that can't agree who's better in Cincinnati.
Vol. 1 · No. 084 · MLBFriday, August 14, 2026
Grayson Rodriguez has a 9.10 ERA at home against a 4.97 ERA on the road, plus Junior Caminero powering a nine-game Tampa Bay winning streak, the Cubs' MLB-best defense at Wrigley, and the board's highest total sitting at a converted minor-league park in Sacramento.
Vol. 1 · No. 083 · MLBThursday, August 13, 2026
Max Scherzer has a 2.38 ERA in August after a 7.25 mark all season, plus James Wood's power surge in Washington, a Toronto-Boston glove duel between two of the sport's best defenders, and a pick'em game with rain in the forecast at Field of Dreams.
Vol. 1 · No. 082 · MLBWednesday, August 12, 2026
Ryan Feltner's day-game ERA is more than double his night mark on a Chase Field matinee, plus Corey Seager's contact quality says .192 won't last, Masyn Winn's glove outshines both lineups at Busch Stadium, and nine books can't agree on who's favored in Milwaukee-San Diego.
Vol. 1 · No. 081 · MLBTuesday, August 11, 2026
Bryan Woo's road ERA is nearly five runs worse than his home mark, but Statcast says the gap overstates the talent difference; plus Yordan Alvarez's bat meets Oracle Park's home-run suppression, the Cubs run the best team defense in baseball into Nationals Park, and Target Field's total climbs with the temperature.
Vol. 1 · No. 080 · MLBMonday, August 10, 2026
Jacob Lopez has a 2.11 ERA over his last five starts against a Tampa Bay lineup on a six-game win streak, plus Ceddanne Rafaela's bat and glove both outrunning expectations in Toronto, Andrew Painter's brutal ERA vs. his strikeout stuff, and St. Louis's hottest-on-the-board total that hasn't moved a tick.
Vol. 1 · No. 079 · MLBSunday, August 9, 2026
Jacob Misiorowski's 100.6 mph average fastball leads baseball's best team into Minnesota, plus nine sportsbooks split down the middle on Cleveland-Chicago, Ezequiel Duran's quiet glove behind Corey Seager's bat, and Jared Jones's strikeout-to-walk ratio outrunning his ERA.
Vol. 1 · No. 078 · MLBSaturday, August 8, 2026
Jackson Jobe returns from a 179-day injured-list stint to start for Detroit at Oracle Park, the sport's lowest run-scoring venue tonight, plus Michael King's ERA-FIP gap meeting Yordan Alvarez's bat, Bobby Witt Jr.'s 31-steal season on a last-place team, and Kyle Freeland's ballpark-sized home/road split.
Vol. 1 · No. 077 · MLBFriday, August 7, 2026
Max Fried has allowed one home run in 75 innings, and tonight he faces Atlanta — 70-45, winners of eight straight — in a park whose right-field wall sits 314 feet away. Plus the Dodgers' six-game skid, Junior Caminero's 33 homers walking into the lowest total on the board, and the worst defense in baseball sitting eight games over .500.
Vol. 1 · No. 076 · MLBThursday, August 6, 2026
Toronto is 54-61, Chicago is 66-49, and eight of nine sportsbooks still make the Cubs a home underdog — because Dylan Cease strikes out 36.2% of the league and Chicago's best weapon is a defense he never lets touch the ball. Plus football's return to Canton after 179 days, and CJ Abrams' .391 wOBA next to the worst glove in baseball.
Vol. 1 · No. 075 · MLBWednesday, August 5, 2026
Paul Skenes is pitching like a 2.93 ERA arm while cashing a 3.90 — his LOB% is the leak, not his stuff. Bryan Woo’s 2.20 home ERA vs. 6.71 on the road, Ronald Acuña Jr.’s .036 wOBA deficit, and Sonny Gray’s six-straight wins built on a number that doesn’t match his xERA.
Vol. 1 · No. 074 · MLBTuesday, August 4, 2026
Tarik Skubal debuts for the Dodgers at Wrigley — facing an arm whose ERA is a full point better than his xERA. Plus Freddy Peralta's Tampa Bay debut at Coors, Bobby Witt Jr.'s hidden glove and 40 missing wOBA points, and why the biggest favorite on the board has a worse ERA at home.
Vol. 1 · No. 073 · MLBMonday, August 3, 2026
Houston has won six in a row and hands the ball to a 7.17 ERA; the man opposing him owns a 5.75 that his own contact says is generous, and their combined xERA is 13.12 against a total of nine. Plus Skubal and Gausman changing teams without being able to pitch, Austin Wells' .161 that the batted balls call a fiction, and why all eight games start after 6:40.
Vol. 1 · No. 072 · MLBSunday, August 2, 2026
Zack Wheeler built a splitter in the spring of 2024 and now throws it more than his sinker; it misses bats half the time and it is why a 36-year-old is in a Cy Young race. Plus the first-place White Sox paying full retail for a 5.06 ERA, the five Colorado Rockies that Statcast keeps mismarking, and the one total on a fifteen-game board that went up.
Vol. 1 · No. 071 · MLBSaturday, August 1, 2026
Sixteen miles an hour of wind blows in off the lake at Wrigley, where two 62-48 teams meet under the lowest total in baseball and the best defense in the sport. Plus Max Clark's 3-for-4 debut at 21 with the deadline forty-eight hours away, Ben Rice's 31 home runs, and Minnesota buying twice in two days.
Vol. 1 · No. 070 · MLBFriday, July 31, 2026
Nick Martinez owns a 2.45 ERA and the lowest strikeout rate of any starter in baseball under 3.00 — so his season rests on the gloves behind him, and the worst defender in MLB plays third base for Tampa Bay.
Vol. 1 · No. 069 · MLBThursday, July 30, 2026
Exactly one year after Cincinnati traded for Ke'Bryan Hayes, he owns the lowest batting average in baseball and the largest gap between contact and results in the sport.
Vol. 1 · No. 068 · MLBWednesday, July 29, 2026
Tarik Skubal owns back-to-back Cy Youngs and a 7-5 record, because his team is 51-57 and its glove is 20 outs below average.
Vol. 1 · No. 067 · MLBTuesday, July 28, 2026
Ronald Acuña Jr. returns from 48 days out with seventy points of slugging the box score hasn't paid him.
Vol. 1 · No. 066 · MLBMonday, July 27, 2026
Max Scherzer returns to the Washington ballpark he made famous — on his 42nd birthday, carrying a 10.23 ERA.
Vol. 1 · No. 065 · MLBSunday, July 26, 2026
The 67-38 Dodgers visit a 43-62 Mets team that just lost Juan Soto to the IL.
Vol. 1 · No. 064 · MLBSaturday, July 25, 2026
A year after 121 losses, the first-place White Sox hand the ball to homegrown ace Sean Burke.
Vol. 1 · No. 063 · MLBFriday, July 24, 2026
The Rays are 59-43 built around Junior Caminero's loud bat and the worst glove at third base in baseball.
Vol. 1 · No. 062 · MLBThursday, July 23, 2026
Jose Ramirez is off the IL and the contact says his quiet .242 is about to erupt.
Vol. 1 · No. 061 · MLBWednesday, July 22, 2026
Miami's dropped eight in a row and hands the ball to Sandy Alcantara.
Vol. 1 · No. 060 · MLBTuesday, July 21, 2026
The trade deadline hit the rotation first: Framber Valdez, now a Tiger, faces David Peterson, now a Cub.
Vol. 1 · No. 059 · MLBMonday, July 20, 2026
The Dodgers own baseball's best record and drew the one Phillies starter whose game lives on soft contact.
Vol. 1 · No. 058 · MLBSunday, July 19, 2026
Kansas City is 40-59 and rosters the most complete player nobody's discussing: Bobby Witt Jr.
Vol. 1 · No. 057 · MLBSaturday, July 18, 2026
Baseball's best team is a Bronx coin flip, and the sharpest edge is behind the plate.
Vol. 1 · No. 056 · MLBFriday, July 17, 2026
Baseball's best team is a coin flip in the Bronx: Roki Sasaki's fastball has become the leak.
Vol. 1 · No. 055 · MLBThursday, July 16, 2026
Baseball peeks out of the All-Star break with a single game in Philadelphia.
Vol. 1 · No. 054 · MLBWednesday, July 15, 2026
Baseball's one guaranteed dark day - nothing on the board in any league.
Vol. 1 · No. 053 · MLB · All-Star GameTuesday, July 14, 2026
The only game on the whole sports calendar is the Midsummer Classic in Philadelphia.
Vol. 1 · No. 052 · MLB · Home Run DerbyMonday, July 13, 2026
No games anywhere tonight - just eight sluggers in Philadelphia.
Vol. 1 · No. 051 · MLBSunday, July 12, 2026
Houston and Texas meet in Arlington with two starters in free fall.
Vol. 1 · No. 050 · MLBSaturday, July 11, 2026
Walker Buehler's ugly 5.07 ERA is the biggest lie in tonight's best game.
Vol. 1 · No. 049 · MLBFriday, July 10, 2026
Shohei Ohtani starts for the Dodgers with the rare sub-2 ERA the pitch data backs up. The 2.25 across from him is the board's softest number.
Vol. 1 · No. SP · World Cup · WimbledonThursday, July 9, 2026 · Special
A pre-match special: France-Morocco reprises the 2022 semifinal.
Vol. 1 · No. 048 · MLBThursday, July 9, 2026
Patrick Sandoval makes his Red Sox debut 748 days after his last big-league pitch.
Vol. 1 · No. 047 · MLBWednesday, July 8, 2026
Milwaukee's +137 run differential and 29-15 road record are the story the standings bury.
Vol. 1 · No. 046 · MLBTuesday, July 7, 2026
Three aces, three hidden truths: deGrom, Skubal, Skenes.
Vol. 1 · No. 045 · MLBMonday, July 6, 2026
Cam Schlittler carries a 1.03 road ERA into baseball's best team.
Vol. 1 · No. 044 · MLBSunday, July 5, 2026
Atlanta hands the ball to the lower ERA against the Mets' Nolan McLean — but Statcast says the shinier line belongs to the worse pitcher.
Vol. 1 · No. 043 · MLBSaturday, July 4, 2026
Luzardo has pitched like two different men this year — a 6.60 ERA at home, a 1.55 on the road. Tonight he's on the road. Plus a 212-cent book split in Arlington and a July 4 heat dome.
Vol. 1 · No. 042 · MLBFriday, July 3, 2026
Tonight's lowest MLB total sits in Seattle behind Cease and Castillo — but the underlying contact quality says only one of those two aces is the real thing.
Vol. 1 · No. 041 · MLBThursday, July 2, 2026
Randy Vásquez's 4.44 ERA hides a 7.05 xERA as he faces baseball's deepest lineup — plus a Rays 7-game streak and Corey Seager's IL move.
Vol. 1 · No. 040 · MLBWednesday, July 1, 2026
The lowest total on a 14-game board sits on Skenes vs Wheeler — the market trusts arms over a 99° bandbox. Wrigley's blowing out, the Yankees can't win, and a Sacramento total jumped a run and a half.
Vol. 1 · No. 039 · MLBTuesday, June 30, 2026
A 15-game MLB Tuesday in a league-wide heat wave — four pitchers whose ERAs don't match their fingerprints, from Coors to the Bronx. Daily statistical angles, never picks.
Vol. 1 · No. 038 · MLBMonday, June 29, 2026
The highest total on the board isn't at Coors. It's 11.5 at Wrigley, with a Padres arm still listed TBD and 13 mph wind off Lake Michigan not yet called.
Vol. 1 · No. 037 · MLBSunday, June 28, 2026
Boston is 35-46 and 15-25 at home, and the market still prices the Red Sox as favorites at Fenway because Sonny Gray is 9-1 with a 2.95 ERA. Carlos Rodón has thrown 41.1 innings on the other side.
Vol. 1 · No. 036 · MLBSaturday, June 27, 2026
Atlanta is 49-31 and San Francisco is 33-48, and the Giants are favored anyway. Logan Webb's 1.52 home ERA meets a forecast of 21 mph wind off the bay at Oracle Park.
Vol. 1 · No. 035 · MLBFriday, June 26, 2026
Jacob Misiorowski's last eight starts: 55 innings, 3 earned runs, 79 strikeouts, a 0.49 ERA. His 13.4 K/9 leads baseball, and the Cubs are next at American Family Field.
Vol. 1 · No. 034 · MLBThursday, June 25, 2026
The Cubs are 5-0 against the Mets and swept Wednesday's doubleheader at Citi Field, with Pete Crow-Armstrong hitting .437 in June. New York has lost five straight, and the spread is still NYM -112.
Vol. 1 · No. 033 · MLBWednesday, June 24, 2026
Tarik Skubal missed six weeks and has thrown 4.2 and 5.2 innings in his two starts back, allowing 5 earned runs. Detroit is still priced at -148 against the Yankees, who own the American League's best record.
Vol. 1 · No. 032 · MLBTuesday, June 23, 2026
Boston and Colorado, a combined 62-93, meet at Coors Field with the board's highest total, 10.5. Sonny Gray draws the park with the sport's highest run factor.
Vol. 1 · No. 031 · MLBMonday, June 22, 2026
Kodai Senga's velocity is back at 97.9 mph, and so is the damage: 0-5, a 9.00 ERA, 17 walks and seven home runs in 24 innings. Shota Imanaga starts opposite him at Citi Field.
Vol. 1 · No. 030 · MLBSunday, June 21, 2026
Chase Burns is 8-1 with a .192 opponent average and 95 strikeouts in 80.2 innings. The Yankees answer with Elmer Rodríguez, three career starts and a 6.23 walk rate per nine, in a Sunday game at the Stadium.
Vol. 1 · No. 029 · MLBSaturday, June 20, 2026
Milwaukee (45-28) and Atlanta (47-27), the NL's two best records, meet at Truist Park. Kyle Harrison (8-1, 2.47 ERA) and Chris Sale (8-5, 2.30) start, and the total is 7.0, the lowest on a 14-game slate.
Vol. 1 · No. 028 · MLBFriday, June 19, 2026
Milwaukee visits Atlanta and the road team is -193. Jacob Misiorowski is 8-2 with a 1.34 ERA, 131 strikeouts in 87 innings, and a 0.74 WHIP.
Vol. 1 · No. 027 · MLBThursday, June 18, 2026
Left-handed hitters are slashing .311/.396/.515 against Aaron Nola, and they are slugging .974 against his four-seamer. Tonight he faces Sean Manaea and a Mets lineup that leans left-handed.
Vol. 1 · No. 026 · MLBWednesday, June 17, 2026
The lowest total on a 15-game board is 7.0 at Dodger Stadium, where opponents are slashing .154/.238/.235 against Shohei Ohtani. Shane McClanahan, quietly excellent since Tommy John, is the other arm.
Vol. 1 · No. 025 · MLBTuesday, June 16, 2026
The Dodgers (46-27) and the Rays (41-28) bring the two best records in baseball to Dodger Stadium. Tampa Bay holds the best mark in the American League.
Vol. 1 · No. 024 · MLBMonday, June 15, 2026
Tampa Bay brought a 41-27 record to Dodger Stadium, and the pitching matchup runs toward the visitor. Nick Martinez owns a 2.43 ERA; the Dodgers start Eric Lauer, claimed from Toronto for cash.
Vol. 1 · No. 023 · MLB, NHLSunday, June 14, 2026
Carolina leads the Stanley Cup Final 3-2 and can end a 20-year drought tonight in Las Vegas. Brandon Bussi has won both of his first two career playoff starts, both in this Final, and the total has dropped from 6.5 to 5.5.
Vol. 1 · No. 004 · MLB, NBASaturday, June 13, 2026
Three Years of Waiting End Tonight — or the Spurs Force a Trip Back to MSG NY Knicks (53-29) @ SA Spurs (62-20) 8:30 PM ET · Frost Bank Center, San Antonio Series: NY leads 3-1 Spread SA -5.
Vol. 1 · No. 021 · MLBFriday, June 12, 2026
Jacob Misiorowski has thrown 103.7 mph, the fastest pitch by a starter in the Statcast era, with a 0.81 WHIP and a .150 batting average against. Milwaukee is the heaviest favorite on the board against Andrew Painter.
Vol. 1 · No. 020 · MLB, NHLThursday, June 11, 2026
The Stanley Cup Final is tied 2-2 after 31 goals in four games. Frederik Andersen was pulled in Game 3; Brandon Bussi started Game 4 and won 5-3. Game 5 is in Raleigh.
Vol. 1 · No. 019 · MLB, NBAWednesday, June 10, 2026
The Hard Count — Issue 019 — Wednesday, June 10, 2026. Read it before the snap.
Vol. 1 · No. 018 · MLB, NHLTuesday, June 9, 2026
Three Stanley Cup Final games, three comebacks, a combined score of 14–11. Mitch Marner scored three goals in 6:10 in Game 3, and Carolina scored three in 39 seconds. Vegas leads 2-1.
Vol. 1 · No. 017 · NBAMonday, June 8, 2026
San Antonio won 62 games and trails the NBA Finals 0-2 heading to Madison Square Garden. Teams down 0-2 in the Finals have come back about 7 percent of the time. The Knicks are two wins from a title.
Vol. 1 · No. 016 · MLBSunday, June 7, 2026
Cam Schlittler has walked 13 batters in 76.1 innings, a 1.53 BB/9, after 31 walks in 73 innings as a rookie. His WHIP is 0.86 and opponents are hitting .191. Boston is at Yankee Stadium this afternoon.
Vol. 1 · No. 015 · MLBSaturday, June 6, 2026
Carolina erased a two-goal deficit in the final ten minutes of Game 2, then won in overtime — the first team to do that in a Cup Final period since the 1944 Canadiens. The series is tied 1-1 and shifts to Las Vegas.
Vol. 1 · No. 014 · MLB, NBAFriday, June 5, 2026
Victor Wembanyama went 6-for-21 in Game 1, San Antonio scored 19 points in the fourth, and the Knicks stole home court 105-95. Game 2 is in San Antonio, with the Spurs favored by 6.5.
Vol. 1 · No. 013 · MLBThursday, June 4, 2026
Vegas became the first road team to trail by two in a Stanley Cup Final opener and still win, 5-4. Carolina has lost two playoff games this spring, and both times the next game was a shutout. Game 2 is at Lenovo Center.
Vol. 1 · No. 012 · MLB, NBAWednesday, June 3, 2026
The Knicks are back in the NBA Finals for the first time in 27 years, against the same franchise. Victor Wembanyama enters Game 1 averaging 27.3 points, 10.9 rebounds, and 2.7 blocks this postseason. San Antonio is favored by 4.5 at home.
Vol. 1 · No. 011 · MLB, NHLTuesday, June 2, 2026
Carolina lost one game on the way to the Stanley Cup Final: sweeps of Ottawa and Philadelphia, then Montreal in five. Vegas swept the Presidents' Trophy Avalanche, 55-16-11 and 121 points, to get there. Game 1 is in Raleigh.
Vol. 1 · No. 010 · MLBMonday, June 1, 2026
Chase Burns has allowed more than two earned runs once all year. He is 7-1 with a 1.96 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP. Kansas City sends Luinder Avila (5.06 ERA) into Cincinnati on a six-game losing streak.
Vol. 1 · No. 009 · MLBMonday, June 1, 2026
Jacob Misiorowski is the first pitcher to 100 strikeouts, with 49 strikeouts and 6 walks across 31.1 innings in May. The Brewers are -199 in Houston against Tatsuya Imai, who carries an 8.31 ERA.
Vol. 1 · No. 008 · MLB, NBASaturday, May 30, 2026
Western Conference Finals Game 7, the first in eight years, tied 3-3. Oklahoma City is without Jalen Williams. San Antonio has stolen three road games against a Thunder team that went 34-7 at home.
Vol. 1 · No. 007 · MLB, NHLFriday, May 29, 2026
Carolina can reach its first Stanley Cup Final since 2006 tonight behind Frederik Andersen's 1.44 goals-against average. Jakub Dobes is 6-0 after losses this postseason, with a .942 save percentage in those starts.
Vol. 1 · No. 006 · MLBThursday, May 28, 2026
Oklahoma City leads the West Finals 3-2 after 32 points from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander in Game 5, and the defending champs are underdogs in San Antonio. The Spurs are 32-8 at home, and Victor Wembanyama is averaging 28.2 points in the series.
Vol. 1 · No. 004 · MLB, NHLWednesday, May 27, 2026
Eastern Conference Final, Game 4, at the Bell Centre. Jakub Dobes has stopped .920 of shots on the road this postseason and .895 at home. Carolina is -142.
Vol. 1 · No. 005 · MLB, NHLWednesday, May 27, 2026
Jakub Dobes is 6-0 in playoff games that follow a Montreal loss. Carolina opened this postseason 8-0, the first team to do that since the 1985 Oilers, then needed overtime to win Games 2 and 3. Game 4 is at the Bell Centre.
Vol. 1 · No. 003 · MLB, NBA, NHLTuesday, May 26, 2026
Colorado won 55 games and the Presidents' Trophy with 121 points. Vegas leads the West Final 3-0 after erasing a three-goal deficit in Game 3, and the Avalanche are still the moneyline favorite at -115.
Vol. 1 · No. 001 · MLB, NBA, NHLTuesday, May 26, 2026
Wembanyama went for 41 and 24 in a double-OT Game 1, then 33/8/5/2/3 in Game 2. San Antonio and Oklahoma City are tied 2-2 in the West Finals.
Vol. 1 · No. 001 · MLBMonday, May 25, 2026
The Brewers' 23-year-old right-hander has fanned 100 hitters in 64 innings — a 14.