THE HARD COUNTArchive

THE HARD COUNT

The sports newsletter archive.

Every issue, back to the beginning. Read it before the snap — or read it after.

All issues

Vol. 1 · No. 114 · NFL

Tennessee Is Favored Tonight for the First Time in 17 Games. Cam Ward's Last Eight Starts Explain Why.

Sunday, September 13, 2026

Tennessee is favored for the first time in 17 games as Cam Ward's rookie finish backs it up, Atlanta may start a third quarterback after Penix and Tagovailoa are both out, Freddy Peralta trims three runs off his ERA in September as Tampa Bay leads the AL East by four, and Ben Shelton faces a perfect 0-5 head-to-head with Alexander Zverev in the US Open men's final.

Vol. 1 · No. 113 · CFB

Texas Returns More Rushing Production Than It Lost. Ohio State's Defense Doesn't Care.

Saturday, September 12, 2026

No. 1 Ohio State visits No. 4 Texas in Austin, Oklahoma's line at Michigan flips 8 points since it opened, San Diego grabs sole possession of the NL's final wild card spot on a 5-game streak, and Sabalenka faces Rybakina in the US Open women's final.

Vol. 1 · No. 112 · MLB

Chris Sale Is Outpitching His Real Numbers by a Full Run. Aaron Nola Is Underpitching His by Almost as Much.

Friday, September 11, 2026

Chris Sale and Aaron Nola take the mound on opposite sides of the same ERA-vs-xERA gap with Atlanta's NL East lead on the line, Tampa Bay's glove carries a 107-run edge over Houston, the Dodgers ride a 7-game streak, and Ben Shelton faces Frances Tiafoe in an all-American US Open semifinal.

Vol. 1 · No. 111 · NFL

7,900 Miles. Seventeen Time Zones. Neither Team Is Playing Anywhere Close to Home Tonight.

Thursday, September 10, 2026

San Francisco and Los Angeles open their seasons at the Melbourne Cricket Ground, Matthew Stafford closes on the best form of his 2025 year, the market has quietly moved a full point toward the Rams, and Jacob deGrom gets the exact getaway-day matinee his season has been waiting for.

Vol. 1 · No. 110 · NFL

Seattle's Super Bowl MVP Left for Kansas City. New England Answered by Trading for a Different Team's Best Receiver.

Wednesday, September 9, 2026

New England and Seattle open the NFL season replaying February's Super Bowl LX rematch, with a completely different receiving room on each sideline, referee Adrian Hill's flag-heavy crew on the field, and the Dodgers' magic number down to 7.

Vol. 1 · No. 109 · MLB

Half a Game. That's What Separates San Diego From the Final NL Wild Card Spot Tonight.

Tuesday, September 8, 2026

San Diego trails Arizona by half a game for the NL's last wild card spot, Aaron Judge returns to Yankee Stadium for the first time since May, and Milwaukee's bullpen has nothing left despite the best record in baseball.

Vol. 1 · No. 108 · MLB

Cleveland Just Took Sole Possession of the Last AL Wild Card Spot. Can Its Bullpen Even Make It Through Tonight?

Monday, September 7, 2026

Cleveland grabs sole possession of the AL's last wild card spot with an empty bullpen, Milwaukee's magic number keeps dropping despite its own two-game skid, and Matt Olson walks into Philadelphia with the NL's third-most home runs.

Vol. 1 · No. 107 · MLB

Cleveland and Toronto Are Tied for the American League's Last Playoff Spot. Texas Just Drew the Toughest Test of the Three.

Sunday, September 6, 2026

Cleveland and Toronto are tied for the American League's last wild card spot, Arizona's defense is protecting a half-game lead over San Diego for the National League's, and Ke'Bryan Hayes' bat is far better than his .153 average says.

Vol. 1 · No. 106 · CFB

Byrum Brown Threw for 3,158 Yards and Ran for 1,008 More Last Year. Auburn Needed Both Numbers Just to Replace Its Whole Quarterback Room.

Saturday, September 5, 2026

Auburn replaces its entire quarterback room with a USF transfer QB who put up 3,158 passing yards and 1,008 rushing yards last year, Lane Kiffin makes his $13-million LSU debut against Clemson's new starter, and Milwaukee's magic number drops to 13 with the best record in baseball.

Vol. 1 · No. 105 · MLB

Cleveland Needs 18 Innings Tonight to Defend Its Wild Card Spot. Its Bullpen Already Looks Like It's Played Them.

Friday, September 4, 2026

Cleveland's bullpen is down to its last arms right before a doubleheader defending its wild card spot, and Bryce Harper's numbers don't disagree with anything.

Vol. 1 · No. 104 · MLB

Three Teams Are Tied at 69-71, All Chasing the Same Wild Card Spot. Tonight, One of Them Plays the Team Sitting In It.

Thursday, September 3, 2026

Toronto, Texas, and Baltimore are tied at 69-71 chasing Cleveland's wild card spot, Chicago and Houston's division leads collide with both bullpens gassed, and Pete Crow-Armstrong is putting together a 38-homer, 32-steal season nobody's talking about.

Vol. 1 · No. 103 · MLB

Which Davis Martin Shows Up Tonight — the One With a 3.72 FIP, or the One With a 9.95 ERA Since Mid-August?

Wednesday, September 2, 2026

Davis Martin's peripherals and his last five starts tell different stories, Yordan Alvarez's bat is the loudest on either roster, and Brad Lord's home/road splits don't favor Wednesday's start.

Vol. 1 · No. 102 · MLB

Ronel Blanco's ERA Says Disaster. His Expected Numbers Say Something Calmer.

Tuesday, September 1, 2026

Ronel Blanco's ERA hides a real fix, Tatis and Machado carry San Diego into Cincinnati, and Philadelphia's bullpen is out of fresh arms against Arizona.

Vol. 1 · No. 101 · MLB

Ronald Acuña Jr.'s Numbers Say He's Still Cold. Atlanta's Seven-Game Winning Streak Says It Doesn't Matter.

Monday, August 31, 2026

Atlanta's seventh straight win runs into a still-cold Ronald Acuña Jr., Boston gets two bats back from the injured list against a Seattle starter better than his ERA, the Cubs' historic team defense hosts Milwaukee, and Peter Lambert's August collapse meets a taxed Houston bullpen — plus Alcaraz opens the US Open.

Vol. 1 · No. 100 · MLB

How Long Can Colorado's Mason Adams Ride a 2.25 ERA That Doesn't Believe Itself?

Sunday, August 30, 2026

Mason Adams' 2.25 ERA runs into Atlanta's six-game win streak, Zack Wheeler's last five starts meet a last-place Angels club, Shohei Ohtani's quiet contact numbers say a breakout is overdue, and Jazz Chisholm's glove is one of the best at second base — plus Djokovic opens night play at the US Open.

Vol. 1 · No. 099 · CFB

College Football's Season Kicks Off Tonight in Dublin, Ireland — and Vegas Still Found a Two-Score Favorite.

Saturday, August 29, 2026

TCU and North Carolina open the college season in Dublin as a two-score favorite, Virginia is favored despite returning less production than any team in the ACC, USC's spread is the widest of the day, and Boston/New York split a doubleheader nobody's fully priced.

Vol. 1 · No. 098 · MLB

Tarik Skubal Takes the Mound in Detroit Tonight for the First Time Since the Trade That Ended His Tigers Career.

Friday, August 28, 2026

Tarik Skubal starts against Detroit for the first time since the trade that ended his Tigers career, Aaron Judge's contact quality says his season isn't as quiet as it looks, Ceddanne Rafaela might be playing the best defense in the American League, and Cleveland's seven-game winning streak has the Guardians within 2.5 games of first.

Vol. 1 · No. 097 · MLB

Yamamoto and Sale Are Both Running Sub-2.65 ERAs Tonight. Neither One Is Winning With His Fastball.

Thursday, August 27, 2026

Yamamoto and Sale both hide behind sub-2.65 ERAs while their fastballs take a beating in Atlanta, Hayden Wesneski's ERA undersells him in the Bronx, a Cardinals rookie's glove keeps producing through a five-game skid, and nine books can't agree who's favored between Arizona and a last-place Giants club.

Vol. 1 · No. 096 · MLB

Is Michael Harris II Quietly Building the Best Glove-and-Bat Season in Baseball?

Wednesday, August 26, 2026

Michael Harris II hasn't made an error in center field all year and his bat just caught fire, Troy Melton's 1.60 ERA meets a market that already flipped against him, Grayson Rodriguez's ERA and his stuff disagree by a run and a half, and San Diego's bullpen enters the night running on fumes.

Vol. 1 · No. 095 · MLB

Will Smith's Batting Average Reads Like a Quiet Year. His Statcast Page Reads Like a Guy About to Go Off.

Tuesday, August 25, 2026

Will Smith's contact quality says a hot streak is coming for the Dodgers, Aaron Nola's turnaround the morning after Seattle snapped Philadelphia's win streak, Adrian Houser's 0.55 August ERA for a banged-up Giants team, and MLB's best defense stuck in a coin-flip line in Phoenix.

Vol. 1 · No. 094 · MLB

Philadelphia's Nine-Game Winning Streak Is Carrying an Ace Having His Worst Stretch of the Year

Monday, August 24, 2026

Zack Wheeler's rough two weeks collide with Philadelphia's nine-game win streak, Riley Greene quietly mashing through a Detroit losing streak, Dansby Swanson's glove propping up Kevin Gausman's ERA, and the board's runaway total sitting in Sacramento.

Vol. 1 · No. 093 · MLB

How Long Can Kyle Leahy's Luck Hold Up at Citizens Bank Park?

Sunday, August 23, 2026

Kyle Leahy's ERA-vs-xERA gap against a red-hot Phillies lineup, Cal Raleigh's contact quality trapped in Seattle's marine layer, Alek Thomas quietly excelling at the plate and in center field since his Dodgers recall, and nine sportsbooks split on who's actually favored in Baltimore.

Vol. 1 · No. 092 · MLB

Gabriel Hughes' ERA Says Disaster. His FIP Says Something Much Calmer.

Saturday, August 22, 2026

Gabriel Hughes' luck-vs-stuff gap at Coors, CJ Abrams chasing a 30-30 season on a last-place Nationals team, Milwaukee's best-in-baseball record leaning on a second baseman's glove, and Oakland's bullpen and roster falling apart at once.

Vol. 1 · No. 091 · MLB

San Francisco's Season Looks Like a Tear-Down. Logan Webb's August Doesn't Read the Standings.

Friday, August 21, 2026

Logan Webb's dominant August at Fenway, Bobby Witt Jr.'s MVP case on a last-place Royals team, Arizona's quietly elite shortstop glove, and Philadelphia's six-game streak drawing a real line move.

Vol. 1 · No. 090 · MLB

How Much Worse Should Shane Bieber's ERA Really Be?

Thursday, August 20, 2026

Shane Bieber's ERA already looks rough at Tampa Bay today, plus Aaron Judge's power at Camden Yards, a rookie Cardinal quietly playing elite defense, and nine sportsbooks who can't agree who's favored in Chicago.

Vol. 1 · No. 089 · MLB

The Dodgers' Bullpen Has One Fresh Arm Left. Tonight It Faces the Highest-Scoring Park in the Sport.

Wednesday, August 19, 2026

The Dodgers' bullpen has one fresh arm left before tonight's trip to Coors Field, plus Oneil Cruz's return to Pittsburgh, the sport's best glove in center field, and Max Scherzer's ERA outrunning his own contact quality by nearly two runs.

Vol. 1 · No. 088 · MLB

Zack Wheeler's August Says He's Falling Apart. His Contact Quality Never Got the Memo.

Tuesday, August 18, 2026

Zack Wheeler's ERA is 5.84 in August, but his contact quality hasn't moved a point, plus an elite-glove collision in Arlington, a .208 hitter with a .401 expected slugging percentage, and Kansas City's board-high total meeting two gassed bullpens.

Vol. 1 · No. 087 · MLB

Tomoyuki Sugano's ERA Is 2.50 Runs Better Than His Contact Quality Deserves. Tonight He Takes That Luck to Coors Field.

Monday, August 17, 2026

Tomoyuki Sugano's ERA is outrunning his contact quality by 2.5 runs, and tonight he takes that luck to Coors Field, plus a Cubs-defense mystery, Junior Caminero's breakout numbers, and a Cardinals-Reds doubleheader bullpen crunch.

Vol. 1 · No. 086 · MLB

Lake Bachar Has Quietly Built One of Baseball's Best Sliders. Daylight Is the Only Thing That's Beaten Him.

Sunday, August 16, 2026

Lake Bachar's 7.66 day ERA meets a 1:35 PM Pittsburgh matinee, plus Matt Olson's barrel rate against Atlanta, Cleveland's best-kept defensive secret, and a Toronto moneyline flip missing its best hitter.

Vol. 1 · No. 085 · MLB

Jacob Misiorowski's Fastball Isn't a Pitch Tonight. It's a Verdict.

Saturday, August 15, 2026

Jacob Misiorowski's fastball has the Dodgers as home underdogs, plus Yordan Alvarez's contact quality outrunning his box score, Mookie Betts' glove at a position he wasn't supposed to play, and nine sportsbooks that can't agree who's better in Cincinnati.

Vol. 1 · No. 084 · MLB

Grayson Rodriguez Pitches Better on the Road Than He Does at Home. Tonight's Not the Road.

Friday, August 14, 2026

Grayson Rodriguez has a 9.10 ERA at home against a 4.97 ERA on the road, plus Junior Caminero powering a nine-game Tampa Bay winning streak, the Cubs' MLB-best defense at Wrigley, and the board's highest total sitting at a converted minor-league park in Sacramento.

Vol. 1 · No. 083 · MLB

Max Scherzer's Season Says He's Cooked. August Says Something Else.

Thursday, August 13, 2026

Max Scherzer has a 2.38 ERA in August after a 7.25 mark all season, plus James Wood's power surge in Washington, a Toronto-Boston glove duel between two of the sport's best defenders, and a pick'em game with rain in the forecast at Field of Dreams.

Vol. 1 · No. 082 · MLB

Ryan Feltner's Day Starts Have Been a Disaster. Arizona Just Handed Him a Matinee.

Wednesday, August 12, 2026

Ryan Feltner's day-game ERA is more than double his night mark on a Chase Field matinee, plus Corey Seager's contact quality says .192 won't last, Masyn Winn's glove outshines both lineups at Busch Stadium, and nine books can't agree on who's favored in Milwaukee-San Diego.

Vol. 1 · No. 081 · MLB

Bryan Woo's Home ERA Is 1.96. His Road ERA Is 6.71. Tonight He's on the Road.

Tuesday, August 11, 2026

Bryan Woo's road ERA is nearly five runs worse than his home mark, but Statcast says the gap overstates the talent difference; plus Yordan Alvarez's bat meets Oracle Park's home-run suppression, the Cubs run the best team defense in baseball into Nationals Park, and Target Field's total climbs with the temperature.

Vol. 1 · No. 080 · MLB

Jacob Lopez Has Quietly Turned Into a Different Pitcher.

Monday, August 10, 2026

Jacob Lopez has a 2.11 ERA over his last five starts against a Tampa Bay lineup on a six-game win streak, plus Ceddanne Rafaela's bat and glove both outrunning expectations in Toronto, Andrew Painter's brutal ERA vs. his strikeout stuff, and St. Louis's hottest-on-the-board total that hasn't moved a tick.

Vol. 1 · No. 079 · MLB

The Fastest Fastball in Baseball Isn't a Highlight. It's a Habit.

Sunday, August 9, 2026

Jacob Misiorowski's 100.6 mph average fastball leads baseball's best team into Minnesota, plus nine sportsbooks split down the middle on Cleveland-Chicago, Ezequiel Duran's quiet glove behind Corey Seager's bat, and Jared Jones's strikeout-to-walk ratio outrunning his ERA.

Vol. 1 · No. 078 · MLB

179 Days on the Injured List. Tonight Jackson Jobe Faces Big-League Hitters Again.

Saturday, August 8, 2026

Jackson Jobe returns from a 179-day injured-list stint to start for Detroit at Oracle Park, the sport's lowest run-scoring venue tonight, plus Michael King's ERA-FIP gap meeting Yordan Alvarez's bat, Bobby Witt Jr.'s 31-steal season on a last-place team, and Kyle Freeland's ballpark-sized home/road split.

Vol. 1 · No. 077 · MLB

One Home Run in Seventy-Five Innings. Tonight Max Fried Gets His Old Team.

Friday, August 7, 2026

Max Fried has allowed one home run in 75 innings, and tonight he faces Atlanta — 70-45, winners of eight straight — in a park whose right-field wall sits 314 feet away. Plus the Dodgers' six-game skid, Junior Caminero's 33 homers walking into the lowest total on the board, and the worst defense in baseball sitting eight games over .500.

Vol. 1 · No. 076 · MLB

You Already Know Which Team Is Better. Eight of Nine Books Disagree With You Anyway.

Thursday, August 6, 2026

Toronto is 54-61, Chicago is 66-49, and eight of nine sportsbooks still make the Cubs a home underdog — because Dylan Cease strikes out 36.2% of the league and Chicago's best weapon is a defense he never lets touch the ball. Plus football's return to Canton after 179 days, and CJ Abrams' .391 wOBA next to the worst glove in baseball.

Vol. 1 · No. 075 · MLB

Paul Skenes’ ERA Is Running a Tab He Doesn’t Owe.

Wednesday, August 5, 2026

Paul Skenes is pitching like a 2.93 ERA arm while cashing a 3.90 — his LOB% is the leak, not his stuff. Bryan Woo’s 2.20 home ERA vs. 6.71 on the road, Ronald Acuña Jr.’s .036 wOBA deficit, and Sonny Gray’s six-straight wins built on a number that doesn’t match his xERA.

Vol. 1 · No. 074 · MLB

He Spent Two Days Watching. Tonight He Gets Wrigley.

Tuesday, August 4, 2026

Tarik Skubal debuts for the Dodgers at Wrigley — facing an arm whose ERA is a full point better than his xERA. Plus Freddy Peralta's Tampa Bay debut at Coors, Bobby Witt Jr.'s hidden glove and 40 missing wOBA points, and why the biggest favorite on the board has a worse ERA at home.

Vol. 1 · No. 073 · MLB

You've Seen Houston Win Six Straight. You Haven't Seen Tonight's Starter.

Monday, August 3, 2026

Houston has won six in a row and hands the ball to a 7.17 ERA; the man opposing him owns a 5.75 that his own contact says is generous, and their combined xERA is 13.12 against a total of nine. Plus Skubal and Gausman changing teams without being able to pitch, Austin Wells' .161 that the batted balls call a fiction, and why all eight games start after 6:40.

Vol. 1 · No. 072 · MLB

The Pitch Zack Wheeler Didn't Own Two Years Ago Is Now the Second One He Throws

Sunday, August 2, 2026

Zack Wheeler built a splitter in the spring of 2024 and now throws it more than his sinker; it misses bats half the time and it is why a 36-year-old is in a Cy Young race. Plus the first-place White Sox paying full retail for a 5.06 ERA, the five Colorado Rockies that Statcast keeps mismarking, and the one total on a fifteen-game board that went up.

Vol. 1 · No. 071 · MLB

Wrigley in August Is a Launching Pad. Tonight It Owns the Lowest Total in Baseball.

Saturday, August 1, 2026

Sixteen miles an hour of wind blows in off the lake at Wrigley, where two 62-48 teams meet under the lowest total in baseball and the best defense in the sport. Plus Max Clark's 3-for-4 debut at 21 with the deadline forty-eight hours away, Ben Rice's 31 home runs, and Minnesota buying twice in two days.

Vol. 1 · No. 070 · MLB

Nick Martinez Has Been Tampa Bay's Most Reliable Starter. Almost None of It Is His Doing.

Friday, July 31, 2026

Nick Martinez owns a 2.45 ERA and the lowest strikeout rate of any starter in baseball under 3.00 — so his season rests on the gloves behind him, and the worst defender in MLB plays third base for Tampa Bay.

Vol. 1 · No. 069 · MLB

Forget the .142. One Year Ago Today Cincinnati Bought This Bat, and the Contact Still Backs Them.

Thursday, July 30, 2026

Exactly one year after Cincinnati traded for Ke'Bryan Hayes, he owns the lowest batting average in baseball and the largest gap between contact and results in the sport.

Vol. 1 · No. 068 · MLB

Tarik Skubal Is 7-5. Throw the Record Away.

Wednesday, July 29, 2026

Tarik Skubal owns back-to-back Cy Youngs and a 7-5 record, because his team is 51-57 and its glove is 20 outs below average.

Vol. 1 · No. 067 · MLB

Ronald Acuña Jr. Is Back. The Contact Says He's Owed Seventy Points of Slugging.

Tuesday, July 28, 2026

Ronald Acuña Jr. returns from 48 days out with seventy points of slugging the box score hasn't paid him.

Vol. 1 · No. 066 · MLB

Max Scherzer Owned This Ballpark. He Comes Back to It on His Birthday, Renting.

Monday, July 27, 2026

Max Scherzer returns to the Washington ballpark he made famous — on his 42nd birthday, carrying a 10.23 ERA.

Vol. 1 · No. 065 · MLB

Juan Soto Won't Play Tonight. The Best Team in Baseball Came to Queens Anyway.

Sunday, July 26, 2026

The 67-38 Dodgers visit a 43-62 Mets team that just lost Juan Soto to the IL.

Vol. 1 · No. 064 · MLB

The White Sox Lost 121 Games a Year Ago. Tonight Their Homegrown Ace Is the Favorite.

Saturday, July 25, 2026

A year after 121 losses, the first-place White Sox hand the ball to homegrown ace Sean Burke.

Vol. 1 · No. 063 · MLB

Tampa Bay Built a Contender Around the Loudest Bat in Baseball. And the Worst Glove at Third.

Friday, July 24, 2026

The Rays are 59-43 built around Junior Caminero's loud bat and the worst glove at third base in baseball.

Vol. 1 · No. 062 · MLB

Jose Ramirez Is Back in Cleveland's Lineup. The Contact Says the Quiet Bat Is About to Get Loud.

Thursday, July 23, 2026

Jose Ramirez is off the IL and the contact says his quiet .242 is about to erupt.

Vol. 1 · No. 061 · MLB

The Marlins Have Lost Eight Straight. The Man on the Mound Is the Last Reason Why.

Wednesday, July 22, 2026

Miami's dropped eight in a row and hands the ball to Sandy Alcantara.

Vol. 1 · No. 060 · MLB

Two Trades, One Mound: The Deadline's First Duel Lands at Wrigley

Tuesday, July 21, 2026

The trade deadline hit the rotation first: Framber Valdez, now a Tiger, faces David Peterson, now a Cub.

Vol. 1 · No. 059 · MLB

Cristopher Sanchez Has Been the Phillies' Quiet Ace. Tonight the Bill Comes Due.

Monday, July 20, 2026

The Dodgers own baseball's best record and drew the one Phillies starter whose game lives on soft contact.

Vol. 1 · No. 058 · MLB

The Best Glove in Baseball Plays for a 40-59 Team

Sunday, July 19, 2026

Kansas City is 40-59 and rosters the most complete player nobody's discussing: Bobby Witt Jr.

Vol. 1 · No. 057 · MLB

The Biggest Game on the Board Turns on Two Catchers Having Miserable Years

Saturday, July 18, 2026

Baseball's best team is a Bronx coin flip, and the sharpest edge is behind the plate.

Vol. 1 · No. 056 · MLB

Roki Sasaki Came to New York a Phenom. Tonight He Brings a Solved Fastball.

Friday, July 17, 2026

Baseball's best team is a coin flip in the Bronx: Roki Sasaki's fastball has become the leak.

Vol. 1 · No. 055 · MLB

The Best Hitter on the Field Tonight Plays for the Worst Team on It

Thursday, July 16, 2026

Baseball peeks out of the All-Star break with a single game in Philadelphia.

Vol. 1 · No. 054 · MLB

One Day a Year, Baseball Owes You Nothing. This Is It.

Wednesday, July 15, 2026

Baseball's one guaranteed dark day - nothing on the board in any league.

Vol. 1 · No. 053 · MLB · All-Star Game

Roy Halladay Started the Last All-Star Game for Both of Tonight's Teams

Tuesday, July 14, 2026

The only game on the whole sports calendar is the Midsummer Classic in Philadelphia.

Vol. 1 · No. 052 · MLB · Home Run Derby

Why Is a 33-Year-Old With a Balky Back the Man to Beat?

Monday, July 13, 2026

No games anywhere tonight - just eight sluggers in Philadelphia.

Vol. 1 · No. 051 · MLB

Houston and Texas Renew It in Arlington, With Two Starters Nobody Trusts

Sunday, July 12, 2026

Houston and Texas meet in Arlington with two starters in free fall.

Vol. 1 · No. 050 · MLB

Walker Buehler's 5.07 ERA Is the Biggest Lie in Tonight's Best Game

Saturday, July 11, 2026

Walker Buehler's ugly 5.07 ERA is the biggest lie in tonight's best game.

Vol. 1 · No. 049 · MLB

Two Sub-2.30 ERAs at Dodger Stadium. Only Ohtani's Survives the Pitch Data.

Friday, July 10, 2026

Shohei Ohtani starts for the Dodgers with the rare sub-2 ERA the pitch data backs up. The 2.25 across from him is the board's softest number.

Vol. 1 · No. SP · World Cup · Wimbledon

Special Edition: France-Morocco, a 2022 Rematch

Thursday, July 9, 2026 · Special

A pre-match special: France-Morocco reprises the 2022 semifinal.

Vol. 1 · No. 048 · MLB

Patrick Sandoval Throws His First Big-League Pitch in 748 Days. It Lands in First Place.

Thursday, July 9, 2026

Patrick Sandoval makes his Red Sox debut 748 days after his last big-league pitch.

Vol. 1 · No. 047 · MLB

The Best Team in Baseball Is in Los Angeles. The Second-Best One Is the Angle.

Wednesday, July 8, 2026

Milwaukee's +137 run differential and 29-15 road record are the story the standings bury.

Vol. 1 · No. 046 · MLB

Jacob deGrom Still Throws 97. The Pitch That Made Him Is the One They're Squaring Up.

Tuesday, July 7, 2026

Three aces, three hidden truths: deGrom, Skubal, Skenes.

Vol. 1 · No. 045 · MLB

Cam Schlittler Is a 2.08 Story at Home. On the Road, He's Meaner.

Monday, July 6, 2026

Cam Schlittler carries a 1.03 road ERA into baseball's best team.

Vol. 1 · No. 044 · MLB

Atlanta Throws the Lower ERA. Statcast Says It Threw the Worse Pitcher.

Sunday, July 5, 2026

Atlanta hands the ball to the lower ERA against the Mets' Nolan McLean — but Statcast says the shinier line belongs to the worse pitcher.

Vol. 1 · No. 043 · MLB

Luzardo Has Been Two Pitchers. Tonight Kansas City Gets the One Who Travels.

Saturday, July 4, 2026

Luzardo has pitched like two different men this year — a 6.60 ERA at home, a 1.55 on the road. Tonight he's on the road. Plus a 212-cent book split in Arlington and a July 4 heat dome.

Vol. 1 · No. 042 · MLB

The Lowest Total on the Board Has Castillo's Name on It

Friday, July 3, 2026

Tonight's lowest MLB total sits in Seattle behind Cease and Castillo — but the underlying contact quality says only one of those two aces is the real thing.

Vol. 1 · No. 041 · MLB

A 4.44 ERA Boards the Plane to Los Angeles

Thursday, July 2, 2026

Randy Vásquez's 4.44 ERA hides a 7.05 xERA as he faces baseball's deepest lineup — plus a Rays 7-game streak and Corey Seager's IL move.

Vol. 1 · No. 040 · MLB

Skenes Brings the Best Arm in Baseball to a Launch Pad

Wednesday, July 1, 2026

The lowest total on a 14-game board sits on Skenes vs Wheeler — the market trusts arms over a 99° bandbox. Wrigley's blowing out, the Yankees can't win, and a Sacramento total jumped a run and a half.

Vol. 1 · No. 039 · MLB

His Problem Was Never the Altitude

Tuesday, June 30, 2026

A 15-game MLB Tuesday in a league-wide heat wave — four pitchers whose ERAs don't match their fingerprints, from Coors to the Bronx. Daily statistical angles, never picks.

Vol. 1 · No. 038 · MLB

The Wind Meter at Clark and Addison

Monday, June 29, 2026

MLB NBA OFF NHL OFF NFL OFF The Audible The Wind Meter at Clark and Addison The Audible MLB Wrigley's 11.

Vol. 1 · No. 037 · MLB

One Arm Overrides 13 Games

Sunday, June 28, 2026

MLB · 15 NBA · OFF NHL · OFF NFL · OFF CFB · OFF CBB · OFF The Audible MLB One Arm Overrides 13 Games 7:20 PM ET · Fenway Park · Carlos Rodón vs Sonny Gray Spread BOS -1.

Vol. 1 · No. 036 · MLB

Oracle's 21-MPH Wall: When the Worst Record Is the Best Bet

Saturday, June 27, 2026

HL OFF | NFL OFF | CFB OFF | CBB OFF THE AUDIBLE MLB Oracle's 21-MPH Wall: When the Worst Record Is the Best Bet 9:05 PM ET · Oracle Park, San Francisco · Elder vs Webb Spread SF −136 Total 8.

Vol. 1 · No. 035 · MLB

Misiorowski's 0.49 ERA Streak Is the Best Pitching Run in a Generation

Friday, June 26, 2026

MLB 15 NBA OFF NHL OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB OFF The Audible MLB Misiorowski's 0.

Vol. 1 · No. 034 · MLB

The Cubs Are 5-0 Against the Mets This Year. The Market Shrugs.

Thursday, June 25, 2026

MLB 9 NBA OFF NHL OFF NFL OFF The Audible THE AUDIBLE MLB The Cubs Are 5-0 Against the Mets This Year.

Vol. 1 · No. 033 · MLB

Skubal Is Not All the Way Back. The Market Thinks He Is.

Wednesday, June 24, 2026

MLB 16 NBA OFF NHL OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB OFF The Audible MLB Skubal Is Not All the Way Back.

Vol. 1 · No. 032 · MLB

The Cellar-Dweller Summit at 5,280 Feet

Tuesday, June 23, 2026

MLB 15 NBA OFF NHL OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB OFF The Audible MLB The Cellar-Dweller Summit at 5,280 Feet 8:40 PM ET · Coors Field, Denver · Sonny Gray vs.

Vol. 1 · No. 031 · MLB

Senga's 9.00 ERA Gets Another Start. Imanaga's Fly Ball Problem Awaits.

Monday, June 22, 2026

MLB 13 NBA OFF NHL OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB OFF The Audible MLB Senga's 9.

Vol. 1 · No. 030 · MLB

The Best Pitcher in Baseball Visits the Bronx — And the Yankees Send Up a 6.23 BB/9 Rookie

Sunday, June 21, 2026

MLB · 15 NBA · OFF NHL · OFF NFL · OFF CFB · OFF CBB · OFF The Audible The Audible MLB The Best Pitcher in Baseball Visits the Bronx — And the Yankees Send Up a 6.

Vol. 1 · No. 029 · MLB

NL Summit: Harrison and Sale Duel in a Quiet War for First Place

Saturday, June 20, 2026

FF NHL OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB OFF The Audible MLB NL Summit: Harrison and Sale Duel in a Quiet War for First Place 4:10 PM ET · Truist Park, Atlanta · 86°F Overcast LHP Kyle Harrison (8-1, 2.

Vol. 1 · No. 028 · MLB

91 Combined Wins Walk Into Truist Park

Friday, June 19, 2026

MLB 14 NBA OFF NHL OFF NFL OFF The Audible MLB 91 Combined Wins Walk Into Truist Park 7:15 PM ET · Truist Park, Atlanta · Misiorowski (8-2, 1.

Vol. 1 · No. 027 · MLB

Nola's Fastball Has a Lefty Problem. Tonight He Faces a Lefty.

Thursday, June 18, 2026

MLB 9 NBA · OFF NHL · OFF NFL · OFF THE AUDIBLE MLB Nola's Fastball Has a Lefty Problem.

Vol. 1 · No. 026 · MLB

McClanahan Gets the Ohtani Treatment

Wednesday, June 17, 2026

MLB 15 NBA OFF NHL OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB OFF The Audible MLB McClanahan Gets the Ohtani Treatment 3:10 PM ET · Dodger Stadium · McClanahan (6-4, 3.

Vol. 1 · No. 025 · MLB

World Series Preview Lands in Chavez Ravine

Tuesday, June 16, 2026

MLB 15 NBA · OFF NHL · OFF NFL · OFF CFB · OFF CBB · OFF The Audible MLB World Series Preview Lands in Chavez Ravine TB @ LAD · 7:10 PM PT · Dodger Stadium Rasmussen (TB) vs.

Vol. 1 · No. 024 · MLB

The Pitching Mismatch Nobody's Talking About

Monday, June 15, 2026

MLB 10 NBA OFF NHL OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB OFF The Audible MLB The Pitching Mismatch Nobody's Talking About TB @ LAD • 10:00 PM ET • Dodger Stadium • Martinez vs Lauer Spread LAD -1.

Vol. 1 · No. 023 · MLB, NHL

One Win Away: Carolina Goes to Vegas to Finish It

Sunday, June 14, 2026

CFB OFF CBB OFF Lead Story The Audible NHL One Win Away: Carolina Goes to Vegas to Finish It 8:00 PM ET · T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas · ESPN/ABC Stanley Cup Finals · CAR leads 3-2 Spread CAR -1.

Vol. 1 · No. 004 · MLB, NBA

Fifty-Three Years of Waiting End Tonight — or the Spurs Force a Trip Back to MSG

Saturday, June 13, 2026

Three Years of Waiting End Tonight — or the Spurs Force a Trip Back to MSG NY Knicks (53-29) @ SA Spurs (62-20) 8:30 PM ET · Frost Bank Center, San Antonio Series: NY leads 3-1 Spread SA -5.

Vol. 1 · No. 021 · MLB

103.7 Miles Per Hour of Separation

Friday, June 12, 2026

MLB NBA OFF NHL OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB OFF The Audible The Audible MLB 103.

Vol. 1 · No. 020 · MLB, NHL

The Bussi Gambit: Carolina's Goalie Call Is the Cup Final

Thursday, June 11, 2026

Audible The Audible NHL The Bussi Gambit: Carolina's Goalie Call Is the Cup Final 8:00 PM ET · Lenovo Center, Raleigh · Stanley Cup Final — Game 5 Series tied 2-2 Spread CAR -162 Total O/U 6.

Vol. 1 · No. 019 · MLB, NBA

The Road Team Is 3-0. MSG Can't Crack Its Own Series.

Wednesday, June 10, 2026

The Hard Count — Issue 019 — Wednesday, June 10, 2026. Read it before the snap.

Vol. 1 · No. 018 · MLB, NHL

The Chaos Final: Three Games, Three Comebacks, 25 Goals

Tuesday, June 9, 2026

OFF CFB OFF CBB OFF The Audible NHL The Chaos Final: Three Games, Three Comebacks, 25 Goals 8:00 PM ET | T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas | Stanley Cup Finals Game 4 | VGK leads 2-1 Puck Line VGK +1.

Vol. 1 · No. 017 · NBA

The Knicks Are Two Wins From Exorcising 53 Years of Ghosts. The Spurs' 62-Win Machine Has to Find Another Gear at MSG.

Monday, June 8, 2026

NBA 8 MLB OFF NHL OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB The Audible NBA Finals G3 The Knicks Are Two Wins From Exorcising 53 Years of Ghosts.

Vol. 1 · No. 016 · MLB

Schlittler's Walk-Rate Vanishing Act Has the Bronx Humming

Sunday, June 7, 2026

MLB OFF NBA OFF NHL OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB The Audible The Audible MLB Schlittler's Walk-Rate Vanishing Act Has the Bronx Humming BOS @ NYY · 1:35 PM ET · Yankee Stadium Suarez (2-3, 3.

Vol. 1 · No. 015 · MLB

The Hurricanes Are 6-0 in OT. Vegas Is About to Find Out Why.

Saturday, June 6, 2026

MLB 1 NHL NBA OFF NFL OFF The Audible NHL · Cup Final G3 The Hurricanes Are 6-0 in OT.

Vol. 1 · No. 014 · MLB, NBA

Wemby Shot 6-for-21. The Spurs Lost Home Court. Tonight Is the Response.

Friday, June 5, 2026

MLB 15 NBA 1 NHL OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB OFF The Audible The Audible NBA Finals Wemby Shot 6-for-21.

Vol. 1 · No. 013 · MLB

Carolina Has Lost Exactly Two Playoff Games. Both Times, They Responded with a Shutout.

Thursday, June 4, 2026

MLB 1 NHL NBA OFF NFL OFF The Audible The play call you change at the line.

Vol. 1 · No. 012 · MLB, NBA

Twenty-Seven Years. Same Two Teams. New Monster in the Paint.

Wednesday, June 3, 2026

MLB 15 games NBA 1 Finals G1 NHL OFF NFL OFF The Audible · NBA Finals NBA Twenty-Seven Years.

Vol. 1 · No. 011 · MLB, NHL

Carolina Lost One Playoff Game. Vegas Just Swept the Team That Was Supposed to Be Here.

Tuesday, June 2, 2026

MLB 15 NHL 1 NBA OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB OFF The Audible The Audible NHL Carolina Lost One Playoff Game.

Vol. 1 · No. 010 · MLB

Chase Burns Is Pitching Like a Cy Young Frontrunner. Kansas City Is Pitching Like a Team That Wants to Go Home.

Monday, June 1, 2026

MLB games 9 MLB OFF NBA OFF NHL OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB The Audible The Audible MLB Chase Burns Is Pitching Like a Cy Young Frontrunner.

Vol. 1 · No. 009 · MLB

The Audible The play call you change at the line.

Monday, June 1, 2026

MLB 15 NBA OFF NHL OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB OFF The Audible The play call you change at the line.

Vol. 1 · No. 008 · MLB, NBA

Winner Take All. MVP vs. DPOY. Game 7.

Saturday, May 30, 2026

MLB + 1 NBA 15 MLB 1 NBA NHL OFF NFL OFF The Audible The Audible NBA Winner Take All.

Vol. 1 · No. 007 · MLB, NHL

Twenty Years of Waiting End Tonight — Unless Dobes Has Other Plans

Friday, May 29, 2026

MLB 15 NHL 1 NBA OFF NFL OFF The Audible NHL Twenty Years of Waiting End Tonight — Unless Dobes Has Other Plans ECF Game 5 · MTL @ CAR | 8:00 PM ET | Lenovo Center | TNT Spread CAR -1.

Vol. 1 · No. 006 · MLB

The Defending Champs Are Underdogs in a Close-Out Game. That's the Story.

Thursday, May 28, 2026

MLB 1 NBA NHL OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB OFF The Audible The Audible NBA The Defending Champs Are Underdogs in a Close-Out Game.

Vol. 1 · No. 004 · MLB, NHL

Bell Centre or Bust: Carolina Tries to Take a Stranglehold on the East

Wednesday, May 27, 2026

OFF THE AUDIBLE · NHL 🏒 Bell Centre or Bust: Carolina Tries to Take a Stranglehold on the East 8:00 PM EDT · Bell Centre, Montreal · TNT / truTV / HBO Max · East Final — Game 4 Spread CAR -1.

Vol. 1 · No. 005 · MLB, NHL

Dobes Is 6-0 After Losses This Postseason. Tonight He Needs to Be 7-0.

Wednesday, May 27, 2026

MLB 15 NHL 1 NBA OFF NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB OFF The Audible NHL Playoffs Dobes Is 6-0 After Losses This Postseason.

Vol. 1 · No. 003 · MLB, NBA, NHL

The Presidents' Trophy Doesn't Play Here

Tuesday, May 26, 2026

NHL 1 NFL OFF CFB OFF CBB OFF The Audible NHL The Presidents' Trophy Doesn't Play Here COL @ VGK · West Final · Game 4 · 9:00 PM ET T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas · VGK leads 3-0 Puck Line COL -1.

Vol. 1 · No. 001 · MLB, NBA, NHL

Victor Wembanyama Already Has a Signature Playoff Series

Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Wembanyama went for 41 and 24 in a double-OT Game 1, then 33/8/5/2/3 in Game 2. San Antonio and Oklahoma City are tied 2-2 in the West Finals.

Vol. 1 · No. 001 · MLB

Misiorowski is striking out batters at a pace only deGrom has touched.

Monday, May 25, 2026

The Brewers' 23-year-old right-hander has fanned 100 hitters in 64 innings — a 14.